Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 10.736530 12.016573 13.425201 15.096702 17.034198 19.219082 21.883091
2025-11-09 8.820404 10.454300 12.386519 14.862294 17.982320 21.826896 26.990481
2025-11-16 7.716705 9.500855 11.715351 14.707020 18.706977 23.964399 31.558211
2025-11-23 6.836552 8.666465 11.024419 14.345576 19.002298 25.456052 35.366781
2025-11-30 6.249002 8.123111 10.617699 14.262692 19.595556 27.352049 39.963172
2025-12-07 5.615810 7.446277 9.946466 13.709214 19.408868 28.037652 42.761360
2025-12-14 5.043676 6.798840 9.248421 13.028139 18.925821 28.169434 44.627629
2025-12-21 4.668194 6.395340 8.857608 12.752429 19.013741 29.180155 48.096389
2025-12-28 4.740765 6.638563 9.423540 13.981984 21.621317 34.661241 60.517371
2026-01-04 4.569569 6.503972 9.404802 14.277313 22.707618 37.669504 68.877102
2026-01-11 4.264271 6.143298 9.006940 13.911452 22.605162 38.503760 73.003775
2026-01-18 4.150170 6.068103 9.049607 14.280546 23.838186 41.992598 83.447461
2026-01-25 3.917940 5.800559 8.776774 14.107065 24.104306 43.733960 90.636342
2026-02-01 3.695933 5.535778 8.490342 13.885274 24.257902 45.283081 97.791319
2026-02-08 3.509612 5.316107 8.261644 13.742901 24.542688 47.140048 106.164123
2026-02-15 3.306377 5.055949 7.945678 13.410505 24.406645 48.057639 112.324829
2026-02-22 3.163391 4.887431 7.775324 13.334265 24.783071 50.178314 122.354019
2026-03-01 2.961812 4.608871 7.394976 12.824917 24.193065 49.968692 125.639103
2026-03-08 2.756650 4.314287 6.969924 12.197587 23.288718 48.890402 126.086613
2026-03-15 2.622886 4.136130 6.743058 11.943454 23.174454 49.731146 132.775454
2026-03-22 2.698636 4.325353 7.191341 13.075988 26.290123 59.257381 171.246236
2026-03-29 2.648010 4.287930 7.218500 13.347715 27.462079 63.936109 194.934160
2026-04-05 2.520960 4.107152 6.965810 13.011077 27.145460 64.463389 203.201116